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War can be the scapegoat for a rate cut.
Be sure to check out last week’s piece Zero Rate Cuts & follow us @gmgresearch.
Apr 15
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War can be the scapegoat for a rate cut.
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Zero Cuts This Year
Back in Q3, markets were jokingly pricing in FIVE rate cuts. We previously anticipated only one. Now, we're revising our expectation to ZERO rate cuts…
Apr 8
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Zero Cuts This Year
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Navigating markets this week.
Vanguard doesn’t expect a rate cut in 2024. We expect 1. S&P 500: % of stocks above the 200ma is showing overbought conditions. If you are going to…
Apr 1
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Navigating markets this week.
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March 2024
Strategic Insights: Navigating The Current Market
Gold volatility is expanding and suggesting a weaker dollar. Japan (risk-on) was down big today and will spillover to US markets. High beta continues to…
Mar 11
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Strategic Insights: Navigating The Current Market
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February 2024
Our current view on markets
Rising energy and commodity prices are expected to weigh on stock markets, as yields on both 2-year and 10-year bonds trend higher. Robust economic…
Feb 20
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Our current view on markets
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January 2024
This Week's Important Market Highlights - Insights at a Glance
The 1 min overview
Jan 29
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This Week's Important Market Highlights - Insights at a Glance
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A higher SOFR rate is pressuring equity markets.
Nasdaq was way too overbought. Over 90% of stocks in the index were above their 50d moving average.
Jan 8
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A higher SOFR rate is pressuring equity markets.
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December 2023
Equal Weight vs Cap Weighted S&P 500
The end of QT is near (signals from SOFR RRP spreads)
Dec 18, 2023
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Equal Weight vs Cap Weighted S&P 500
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WE ARE BACK
Reflecting on Our Analysis: Our previous report, “Momentum in tech and a bid in bonds,” accurately predicted current market trends.
Dec 11, 2023
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WE ARE BACK
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November 2023
Momentum in tech and a bid in bonds
The recent bids in bonds are recession bids from the big players FED swaps show more than 100 bps of easing priced in for 2024. Last week we said: “Wait…
Nov 14, 2023
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Momentum in tech and a bid in bonds
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Sweet Returns Of Sugar
Quick rundown for the week ahead.
Nov 7, 2023
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Sweet Returns Of Sugar
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October 2023
What to watch - GMG Weekly
The market dynamic is Bitcoin, oil, commodities & rates vs equity exposure The Bitcoin ETFs will be approved soon.
Oct 30, 2023
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What to watch - GMG Weekly
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