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War can be the scapegoat for a rate cut.
Be sure to check out last week’s piece Zero Rate Cuts & follow us @gmgresearch.
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Zero Cuts This Year
Back in Q3, markets were jokingly pricing in FIVE rate cuts. We previously anticipated only one. Now, we're revising our expectation to ZERO rate cuts…
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Navigating markets this week.
Vanguard doesn’t expect a rate cut in 2024. We expect 1. S&P 500: % of stocks above the 200ma is showing overbought conditions. If you are going to…
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GMG Research
Strategic Insights: Navigating The Current Market
Gold volatility is expanding and suggesting a weaker dollar. Japan (risk-on) was down big today and will spillover to US markets. High beta continues to…
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GMG Research
Our current view on markets
Rising energy and commodity prices are expected to weigh on stock markets, as yields on both 2-year and 10-year bonds trend higher. Robust economic…
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GMG Research
This Week's Important Market Highlights - Insights at a Glance
The 1 min overview
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GMG Research
A higher SOFR rate is pressuring equity markets.
Nasdaq was way too overbought. Over 90% of stocks in the index were above their 50d moving average.
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GMG Research
Equal Weight vs Cap Weighted S&P 500
The end of QT is near (signals from SOFR RRP spreads)
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GMG Research
WE ARE BACK
Reflecting on Our Analysis: Our previous report, “Momentum in tech and a bid in bonds,” accurately predicted current market trends.
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GMG Research
Momentum in tech and a bid in bonds
The recent bids in bonds are recession bids from the big players FED swaps show more than 100 bps of easing priced in for 2024. Last week we said: “Wait…
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GMG Research
Sweet Returns Of Sugar
Quick rundown for the week ahead.
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GMG Research
What to watch - GMG Weekly
The market dynamic is Bitcoin, oil, commodities & rates vs equity exposure The Bitcoin ETFs will be approved soon.
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GMG Research
Longer Duration Rises
Big earnings this week (GOOGL,MSFT,AMZN,META,XOM)
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GMG Research
Wars, Oil & Bitcoin
The Spot Bitcoin ETF is rumored to get approved & remains resilient amid significant interest rate hikes. Gas is trending higher, (Natural gas, Brent…
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