The Quick Read - Seasonality is about to rip, VIX crushed, Cryptos are going higher along with US equities.
Our quick take:
The bulls own the bears and November is uniquely strong for risk assets
S&P 500: Q1 Target - 5100
QQQ: Q1 Target - 410
VIX topped
Rare earth metals will continue to outperform
Digital Assets are ripping higher with no remorse. Bitcoin over bonds
The “Stagflation” trade is overplayed and overcrowded
Names to watch: Coinbase, Rare Earth Metals, SentinelOne, Microsoft, Nvidia
Rare Earth Metals
China owns 85% of rare earth mining around the world. The only mining site in America needs to ship the minerals to China in order to process them
Additionally, miners also extracted 220,000 tonnes of rare earth elements, of which 60% came from China’s mainland.
We like Coinbase right here, right now.
Q4 is bullish, period. "75 of past 95 years = Q4 rally in S&P"
Our Ten Commandments
Work harder than anyone else
Busy people always finds time
Return wants the risk payment
Timing is everything
Harder you work, luckier you get
Investment is a trade gone wrong
Be the dumbest person in the room
Manage the draw-downs and compound the returns
Trading only one asset class is blind
Build systems and take the human error out of trading
Some random slides
Return always wants its risk payment.