The opportunity in chaos.
All you need to know:
Energy vs tech is the pair trade to watch. If the market is strong, QQQ>XLE
USD is rallying from the fed’s rapid rate hikes relative to other central banks
If tech and the market rally then watch the USD, commodities and energy fall.
We like: TTWO, KWEB, LQD, QQQ over XLE, market cap over equal weighted, short USD & commodities
Crypto:
There are massive liquidations across the board. Watch out for contagion throughout the system, once that clears (aka a big firm goes down) then that will be a low. There is too much bad leverage out in the system that needs to be flushed out. It is important to understand rehypothecation and what it is.
In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity. - Sun Tzu
S&P 500: Put/Call Ratio still not at 1
S&P 500: % of stocks above their 50ma is at ultimate lows
Equal weighted stocks are starting to under-perform the market-cap weighted index (larger cap is better).
Take-Two Interactive is still a great opportunity. Try to get it closer to $100
Notice the continued out-performance of China. Up 29% since our call mid-May
Contrary to popular belief, QQQ’s have been outperforming the S&P since mid-May
Return always wants its risk payment. NOT investment advice.